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A Rebound in Global Coal Demand in 2021 is Set to be Short-Lived, but no Immediate Decline in Sight

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Photo-illustration: Pixabay

After a major drop in recent years, global coal demand is forecast to rise by 2.6 percent in 2021 before flattening out to 2025.

A global economic recovery in 2021 is expected to drive a short-lived rebound in coal demand following the major drop this year triggered by the Covid-19 crisis, according to a new report from the International Energy Agency.

However, there is little sign that the world’s coal consumption is set to decline substantially in the coming years, with rising demand in some Asian economies offsetting declines elsewhere. As coal is by far the single largest source of global energy-related carbon emissions, the trends outlined in the report pose a major challenge to efforts to put those emissions on a path compatible with reaching climate and sustainable energy goals.

The past two years have seen historic falls in global coal demand, led by unprecedented drops in the United States and Europe, says Coal 2020, the latest edition of the IEA’s annual market report on the sector. A 1.8 percent decline in coal demand in 2019 resulted mainly from weak growth in electricity demand and low natural gas prices. Latest estimates from the IEA suggest coal demand will have plunged by a further 5 percent in 2020 on the economic fallout from Covid-19.

“The Covid-19 crisis has completely reshaped global coal markets. Before the pandemic, we expected a small rebound in coal demand in 2020, but we have since witnessed the largest drop in coal consumption since the Second World War,” said Keisuke Sadamori, the IEA’s Director of Energy Markets and Security. “The decline would have been even steeper without the strong economic rebound in China – the world’s largest coal consumer – in the second half of the year.”

Based on the assumption of a recovery in the world economy, the IEA report forecasts a 2.6 percent rise in global coal demand in 2021, driven by higher electricity demand and industrial output. China, India and Southeast Asian economies account for most of the growth, although the United States and Europe may also both see their first increases in coal consumption in nearly a decade. However, global coal demand in 2021 is still forecast to remain below 2019 levels and could be even lower if the report’s assumptions for the economic recovery, electricity demand or natural gas prices are not met.

Photo-illustration: Pixabay

The rebound in coal demand in 2021 is set to be short-lived, with coal use forecast to flatten out by 2025 at around 7.4 billion tonnes. This would make 2013, when global coal demand reached 8 billion tonnes, coal’s all-time peak. But while coal’s share in both the electricity mix and the overall energy mix are in steady decline, coal use in absolute terms is not set for a rapid decline in the immediate future.

“Renewables are on track to surpass coal as the largest source of electricity in the world by 2025. And by that time, natural gas will likely have taken over coal as the second largest source of primary energy after oil,” said Mr Sadamori. “But with coal demand still expected to remain steady or to grow in key Asian economies, there is no sign that coal is going to fade away quickly.”

The future of coal will largely be decided in Asia. Today, China and India account for 65 percent of global coal demand. With Japan, Korea, Taiwan and Southeast Asia included, that share rises to 75 percent. China, which currently accounts for half of the world’s coal consumption, will be especially influential. By 2025, the European Union and United States will account for less than 10 percent of global coal demand, down from 37 percent in 2000. This will make the impacts of any further changes in demand in these markets very limited.

Source: IEA

 

Making Green Hydrogen a Cost-Competitive Climate Solution

Foto ilustracija: Pexels
Photo-illustration: Pixabay

Hydrogen produced with renewable electricity could compete on costs with fossil fuel alternatives by 2030, according to a new report from the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) published today. A combination of falling costs for solar and wind power, improved performance as well as economies of scale for electrolysers could make it possible. ‘Green Hydrogen Cost Reduction: scaling up electrolysers to meet the 1.5 C climate goal’ looks at drivers for innovation and presents strategies that governments can peruse to reduce the cost of electrolysers by 40 percent in the short term and by up to 80 percent in the long term.

Green hydrogen could play a critical role in decarbonisation strategies, particularly so where direct electrification is challenging in harder-to-abate sectors, such as steel, chemicals, long-haul transport, shipping and aviation. However, regulations, market design and the costs of power and electrolyser production are still major barrier to the uptake of green hydrogen.

“Renewable hydrogen can be a game-changer in global efforts to decarbonise our economies”, said Francesco La Camera, Director-General of IRENA. “Levelling the playing field to close the cost gap between fossil fuels and green hydrogen is necessary. Cost-competitive green hydrogen can help us build a resilient energy system that thrives on modern technologies and embraces innovative solutions fit for the 21st century.”

Today, green hydrogen is 2-3 times more expensive than blue hydrogen, produced from fossil fuels in combination with carbon capture and storage (CCS). The production cost for green hydrogen is determined by the renewable electricity price, the investment cost of the electrolyser and its operating hours. Renewables have already become the cheapest source of power in many parts of the world, with auctions reaching record price-lows below USD 20 per megawatt-hour (MWh). While low-cost electricity is a necessary condition for competitive green hydrogen, investment costs for electrolysis facilities must fall significantly too.

Photo-illustration: Unsplash (Gonz DDL)

IRENA’s new study identifies key strategies and policies to reduce costs for electrolysers through innovation and improved performance aiming to scale up electrolysers from today’s megawatt to multi-gigawatt (GW) levels. Standardisation and mass-manufacturing of the electrolyser stacks, efficiency in operation as well as the optimisation of material procurement and supply chains will be equally important to bring down costs. For that, today’s manufacturing capacity of less than 1 GW would have to massively grow beyond 100 GW in the next 10 to 15 years.

In the best-case scenario, using low-cost renewable electricity at USD 20 USD/MWh in large, cost-competitive electrolyser facilities could produce green hydrogen at a competitive cost with blue hydrogen already today. If rapid scale-up and aggressive electrolysers deployment take place in the next decade, green hydrogen could then start competing on costs with blue hydrogen by 2030 in many countries, making it cheaper than other low-carbon alternatives before 2040, IRENA’s analysis shows.

IRENA has also recently published “Green hydrogen: A guide to policy making” that outlines the main barriers inhibiting green hydrogen uptake and the policies needed to address these. It offers insights on how to kickstart the green hydrogen sector as a key enabler of the energy transition at the national or regional level.

Source: IRENA 

Mitigating Climate Change: It Starts With Better Ocean Data

Foto-ilustracija: Unsplash (Mahkeo)
Photo illustration: Unsplash (Xavier Balderas Cejudo)

For years (and we mean many years), the ocean helped us mitigate the early effects of human emissions by absorbing greenhouse gases, like carbon dioxide and heat, from the atmosphere. As a result, more than 90 percent of the warming that happened on Earth between 1971 and 2010 occurred in the ocean. A selfless act by Mother Nature, but it’s catching up to us.

Climate change, which describes long-term changes to temperature and typical weather, is accelerating at an alarming pace—and the impacts are hard to ignore. Let’s take a look at some changes to our ocean.

3 Ways Climate Change Affects Our Ocean 

Rising sea levels

Sea levels are rising at the fastest rate in 3,000 years. From 2018 to 2019, the global sea level rose to 6.1 millimeters. Sure, a few millimeters doesn’t sound like a lot, until you hear that the average, since 1993, has been 3.2 millimeters per year. That means that last year we doubled the global average from the past twenty years! The same report shares that the U.S. East Coast’s average is actually three to four times the global average. The ocean is rising, and it’s rising fast.

The two major causes are thermal expansion (warm water expands), and melting glaciers and ice sheets. Why should we care? Rising sea levels increase the amount and severity of floods and shoreline erosion. It may also destroy wildlife habitats on the shoreline, interfere with coastal farming, and contaminate potable water sources. 

Ocean acidification

Ocean acidification is a chemical imbalance that stems from large amounts of carbon dioxide. Put simply, it increases the concentration of hydrogen ions and reduces the amount of carbonate ions. Shellfish and other sea life rely on carbonate ions to grow their shells and thrive. But with fewer carbonate ions, shells become thin and brittle, growth slows down, and death rates increase. Since the Industrial Revolution, ocean acidity has increased by 30 percent. With large shellfish die-offs, the whole marine food chain is affected—not the best news for the multi-billion dollar fishing industry. 

Extreme weather events

With more heat in the atmosphere and warmer ocean surface temperatures, the world is experiencing an increase in the intensity and frequency of extreme weather events. For example, research suggests that the number of Category 4 and 5 hurricanes—characterized by higher wind speeds and more precipitation—is steadily increasing. To make matters worse, sea-level rise and a growing population along coastlines will exacerbate their impact. We’re predicting that coastal engineers and planners will be busy in the coming years. 

Mitigating These Effects With Data

As demonstrated above, after years of emitting greenhouse gases, the effects of climate change are very evident. It’s time to collectively mitigate and reduce our carbon footprint. 

We’re going to come out and just say it—we believe it starts with better data. 

The current scale, pace, and practice of ocean scientific discovery and observation are not keeping up with the changes in ocean and human conditions. Current data is siloed and inaccessible—hindering a unified knowledge base for strategies and policy making. 

Photo illustration: Pixabay

Here are some ways that data needs to improve: 

Affordability: According to the Global Ocean Science Report (compiled by UNESCO’s Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission) ocean research is currently led by a small number of industrialized countries. Why? Because they can afford investments in data technology. Many coastal nations are not involved in building this knowledge base simply because they can’t afford the tools. Research is expensive. 

By providing real-time information in actionable forms, this technology is incredibly useful for driving innovation. In order to accelerate the co-creation of knowledge and strategies, these tools need to be accessible to developing countries as well. Affordability and accessibility is the driving force behind Sofar Ocean’s Spotter buoys, which you can read more about here. 

Open data sharing: A major stumbling block to universal data synthesis is ownership. Government agencies, research, and private companies are all key players in ocean data collection and management, keeping these insights locked away for their own specific purposes. 

Data tagging, federated data networks, and data lakes should be combined to create a new era of open and automated ocean data access. Governments can lead the way by declassifying and sharing data that are relevant to ocean science and management. They can also incentivize companies and researchers to share data by making it a condition for access to public resources, such as funding for ocean research, permits for coastal development, or licenses for oil exploration or fishing.

Making Waves Requires Momentum

A molecule of CO2 emitted in India or China has the same effect on the climate system as a molecule emitted in the United States. No matter where we are, climate change affects us all the same. 

Transformative changes require a unified approach. And we believe that starts with data.

Source: sofarocean

Joint Cross-Border Renewable Energy Projects Are Feasible and Beneficial

Foto-ilustracija: Pixabay
Photo-illustration: Unsplash (Andreas Gücklhorn)

The EEA briefing Cross-border cooperation for deployment of renewable energy, which looks at the challenges posed by cross-border cooperation on renewable energy, found that several key barriers exist deterring EU Member States from launching joint projects. These include the complexity of setting up agreements, potential conflicts with national measures, uncertainty over how to share costs and benefits and public support.

Based on the analysis of three case studies involving six European countries, the EEA makes a series of recommendations to help overcome those challenges. Strong political will, mutual trust, flexibility and a coordinated communication strategy emerge as some of the key enablers behind the success of cross-border cooperation in renewable energy.

The briefing is based on the detailed analysis ‘Cross-border regional cooperation for the deployment of renewable energy in Europe’, which was prepared for the EEA by the European Topic Centre on Climate Change Mitigation and Energy (ETC.CME).

Clear benefits of joint, cross-border projects

Achieving a climate-neutral energy system will require more joint projects between countries. Despite the clear and abundant benefits of such cooperation and a supportive EU policy framework, few Member States have embarked on cross-border project.

Cross-border cooperation on renewable energy delivers multiple benefits for the participating countries: more efficient and cheaper electricity generation, increased certainty in the market, open access to new resources and opportunities, and facilitation of other international projects.

As recently highlighted by the EU Council, such cooperation can also contribute to the integration of the EU internal energy market and a more cost-efficient achievement of national and EU renewable energy targets.

Source: EEA

Awarded Prizes of the Photo Contest „Natura 2000 in the Frame”

Photo: Levente Szekeres

Levente Szekeres is the winner of the photo-competition „Natura 2000 in the frame“ with his photo „Feeding“. Second prize was won by Violeta Milutinovic with photo „Defiance“, while the third prize went to Anica Zupunski for the photo „Tisa’s flower“. The award ceremony was held online on through the EU Info Center Facebook channel on Thursday, December 17th.

More than 1.500 photos took part from September 14th to November 27th during the competition that was jointly organized by the project „EU for Natura 2000 in Serbia“ and Energy portal. The main prizes award to the winners were: 1st prize 60.000 dinars, 2nd prize – 45.000 dinars, 3rd prize -35.000 dinars.

Amateurs and professionals’ photographers have participated in this competition showing exceptional skills to capture interesting moments in the nature. The aim of this photo contest was to connect the importance of protection of biodiversity with the diversity of natural landscapes in Serbia and to especially highlight the spaces that will be part of the future Natura 2000 Network in Serbia. Also, one of the goals of the photo-competition was to show the beautiful landscapes in Serbia to wider public and to motivate and remind citizens to the importance of protection of the environment and diversity of flora and fauna.

Photo: Violeta Milutinović

“I am very glad that we got a lot of great photos and selected the three best ones that in this time of difficulties and isolation show life and movement, something that is close to our hearts and what we miss”, said the Project Manager at Delegation of the European Union to the Republic of Serbia in charge of environment and Climate Changes Antoine Avignon.

The jury were composed by: the Team Leader of the project „EU for Natura 2000 in Serbia” Ana Iñigo, the Project Manager in the Delegation of the European Union to the Republic of Serbia responsible for environment and Climate Changes Antoine Avignon, the National Coordinator of the project from the Ministry of environmental protection – Sector for Nature protection and Climate changes Snezana Prokic, the photographer Bojan Džodan, the multimedia artist Mina Radović and the Editor in Chief of Energy Portal Nevena Djukić, who during 11 weeks of the competition selected 34 photos as finalists.

Photo: Anica Zupunski

“This photo competition is important activity of the project “EU for Natura 2000 in Serbia” and I am very glad that many photographers participated and we received great number of fantastic photos from the nature”, said a member of Jury, Project Manager in the Ministry of environmental protection – Sector for Nature protection and Climate changes Snezana Prokic.

The Natura 2000 is an international ecological network of protected areas that are classified into two categories according to the Habitats Directive and the Birds Directive. The project supports the Ministry of Environmental Protection to establish the first list of potential sites in Serbia that will be part of the European Natura 2000 Network.

Due to a specific epidemiological situation the exhibition of the most successful photos is postponed and will be held once the conditions allow it, probably during spring 2021.

Source: Natura 2000

Transforming Agri-Food Systems to Feed the World and Tackle Climate Change

Foto-ilustracija: Unsplash (Zoe Schaeffer)
Photo-illustration: Unsplash (James Sutton)

Feeding the world’s growing population while limiting the impacts of climate change will require urgent and radical transformation of our agri-food systems, FAO Director-General QU Dongyu said at a High-Level event commemorating the 5th anniversary of the Paris Agreement on Climate Change.

“We need to interact differently with our environment,” the Director-General said, pointing to the need for high-impact action focused on better production, better nutrition, a better environment for a better life . “Let us show nature the reverence it deserves and prepare ourselves to set the table for 10 billion people by 2050 with healthy diets.”

Professor Laurence Tubiana, who on behalf of the French Presidency championed the Paris Agreement reached in 2015, delivered a keynote speech and highlighted that FAO has helped raise awareness of agriculture’s crucial role in addressing the impacts of climate change. It’s now understood that “there’s no reason for there to be a contradiction between food security and the goal of combating climate change,” she said.

Event, co-hosted by FAO and France, featured participation by government ministers, diplomats and veteran climate policy pioneers, including Sergio Costa, Minister for Environment of Italy, Hans-Joachim Fuchtel, Parliamentary State Secretary to the Federal Food and Agriculture Ministry of Germany, Nick Bridge, Special Envoy on Climate Change for the United Kingdom’s Foreign Secretary; Yannick Glemarec, Executive Director of the Green Climate Fund, and officials representing Chile, Fiji and Morocco.

Photo-illustration: Unsplash (Les routes sans fin(s))

Agriculture, including forestry, fisheries and livestock production, generates around a fifth of the world’s greenhouse gas emissions, which must be reduced by 2030 to achieve the goal of limiting the global warming increase to 2°C.

During the event, FAO launched the new FAO Climate Change Knowledge Hub, which brings together a large range of publications, resources, reports and videos on how agriculture, forestry and fisheries are linked to climate change.

“We will only achieve our common goal if we share existing information, new scientific findings and developments,” said Hans-Joachim Fuchtel of Germany, whose government provided 2.5 million euros to set up the Hub. “No country should have to reinvent the wheel.”

The Director-General and panelists emphasized the importance of achieving further progress at a series of events in 2021, including COP26, the G20 and the FAO Conference. “There’s good momentum now, so we can start a new challenge,” Qu said.

FAO is stepping up its support to countries

FAO has long been engaged in international climate policy, and that work intensified after the Koronivia Joint Work on Agriculture recognizing the key role of the agriculture sectors in tackling climate change, adopted in 2017.

Photo-illustration: Unsplash (Markus Spiske)

FAO has increased its support to Members to develop and implement their national plans and commitments, notably their Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and National Adaptation Plans (NAPs). This work consists both of direct policy advice and capacity building support facilitating the exchange of ideas and best practices on matters such as agroecology, wildfires and illegal logging through the Thematic Working Group on Agriculture, Food Security and land use.

New FAO programmes and tools launched by the Director-General, including the Hand-in-Hand Initiative and the Green Cities Initiative, are geared to guide and accelerate a climate-smart transformation of agri-food systems and promote sustainable resources management.

FAO has also been supporting countries access resources to carry out projects, and currently administers a funding portfolio of $800 million for 13 projects from the Green Climate Fund.

FAO’s Director-General highlighted the need to support vulnerable places, in particular Small Island Developing States, Landlocked Developing Countries and mountainous regions, noting their rich biodiversity.

Source: FAO

This Belgian Start-Up Allows Anyone to Become an Urban Farmer

Photo-illustration: Pixabay
Photo-illustration: Pixabay

A Belgian start-up is helping people in major cities turn their hand to urban farmingPeas&Love is the brainchild of Jean-Patrick Scheepers, co-founder of Belgium’s biggest cooking school. After the failure of a sustainable farming project near Brussels, he moved into the city itself and started farming on rooftops and in gardens.

“For 20 years, i tried to grow fruit and vegetables in my garden or on my terrace and each year i failed,” he told the audience at the Change Now summit in 2017, the year Peas&Love was launched. “I didn’t have the time and i didn’t have the knowledge.

“My idea was that, if i could have my own personal source of vegetables and fruits that are local, that are seasonal, that are good, that are full of quality, that would exactly fit the description of a potager in French, or a kitchen garden in English, and that would be great.”

Scheepers started Peas&Love after using vertical growing techniques to overcome his earlier gardening setbacks. It now has three urban farms in Brussels and five in Paris where anyone can rent an allotment for about USD 40 a month.

All of the farming work is taken care of by the company, and members are alerted by an app when it’s time to harvest the produce. Each 4m square vegetable garden is divided into two halves: one for the sole use of the subscriber and the other to grow crops that will be shared by all members.

Community based on sharing

Photo-illustration: Unsplash (Gigi)

“The motivation of the people who are part of the concept is mainly to renew contact with nature but they don’t have the time or the knowledge,” Scheepers says. “You come every week to harvest your own allotment but you don’t have to do the work to get it.”

It’s all about creating a community of people who help each other and share values as well as food, he says. It’s a “new approach in urban farming” which has 200 active urban farmers at its first location in Woluwe-Saint-Lambert, in Brussels.

The company’s “Peas for all” programme makes 5 percent of the space on its farms available to educational projects and local associations to help more people reconnect to nature.

Scheepers recently set up the European Urban and Vertical Agriculture Federation to promote the concept and provide a forum to represent urban farmers at a European level, and he has launched an Urban Farm Lab in Istanbul.

Source: World Economic Forum

FAO Launches the UN’s International Year of Fruits and Vegetables 2021

Foto-ilustracija: Unsplash (Pattie Mitchell)
Photo-illustration: Pixabay

The Director-General of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), QU Dongyu, today launched the International Year of Fruits and Vegetables 2021 (IYFV) with an appeal to improve healthy and sustainable food production through innovation and technology and to reduce food loss and waste.

Proclaimed at the 74th session the UN General Assembly, IYFV 2021 is dedicated to raising awareness about the important role of fruits and vegetables in human nutrition, food security and health.

FAO, the lead agency for celebrating the year in collaboration with other organizations, launched the year with an international virtual event.

Speaking at the event the FAO Director-General described the initiative as “a unique opportunity to raise global awareness”. He noted that the COVID-19 pandemic had challenged people to find new ways of fighting hunger and malnutrition and said IYFV would highlight the role of digital technologies in improving nutrition and market opportunities.

“In the current health crisis we are facing around the world, promoting healthy diets to strengthen our immune systems is especially appropriate,” Qu said.

While noting the challenges in improving production and agri-food chains, the FAO Director-General encouraged countries to see the International Year as an opportunity to improve infrastructure, farming practices thereby supporting small scale farmers. He emphasized fruits and vegetables were a good way for farmers to create cash crops.

In his message UN Secretary-General, António Guterres, called for a more “holistic approach” to nutrition and sustainability noting next year’s Food Systems Summit would also be an opportunity to consider the fragility of food systems.

Photo-illustration: Pixabay

Chile played the lead role in the proclamation of IYFV and the country’s Minister for Agriculture, Antonio Walker, told the event there were many challenges in promoting healthy eating habits while calling for co-ordinated action to curb malnutrition.

Teresa Bellanova, Italy’s Minister of Agricultural, Food and Forestry Policies, said her country was ready to share its knowledge and experience in sustainable production as the country marked the 10th anniversary of UNESCO’s recognition of the Mediterranean diet as a cultural treasure.

Helena Leurent, the Director-General of Consumers International, which represents 200 consumer organizations around the world, said it was critical for consumers to have the right to a fair, safe and sustainable marketplace and to be actively involved in how it is shaped in the future.

Fruits and vegetables are good sources of dietary fiber, vitamins and minerals and beneficial phytochemicals. FAO and the World Health Organization recommend that each adult consumes at least 400 grams of fruit and vegetables on a daily basis to prevent chronic diseases, such as cancer, diabetes, heart disease and obesity, as well as to counter micronutrient deficiencies.

With the COVID-19 pandemic the need to transform and rebalance the way our food is produced and consumed has only been further stressed.

Photo-illustration: Pixabay

The FAO Director-General noted that food loss and waste in the fruits and vegetables sector remains a problem with considerable consequences, and that “innovative technologies and approaches are of critical importance”, as “they can help maintaining safety and quality, increasing the shelf life of fresh produce items and preserving their high nutritional value”.

Food loss and waste reduction improves food security and nutrition, reduces greenhouse gas emissions, lowers pressure on water and land resources and can increase productivity and economic growth.

Up to 50 percent of fruits and vegetables produced in developing countries are lost in the supply chain between harvest and consumption.

Advocacy for fresh produce is consistent with the aim of strengthening the role of smallholder and family farmers, and fosters broader market options for millions of rural families. Gender equity opportunities are also noteworthy, as women often play leading roles for their households in both the production and consumption of fruit and vegetables.

The International Year of Fruits and Vegetables 2021 falls within the UN Decade of Action on Nutrition (2016-2025) and the UN Decade of Family Farming (UNDFF 2019-2028). These observances reinforce each other while providing greater visibility to small-scale producers and raise awareness on food security and nutrition.

FAO celebrated the first ever observance of the International Day of Awareness of Food Loss and Waste on 29 September 2020.

Source: FAO

Climate Action in Europe: EU ETS Emissions See Big Drop in 2019, Latest EEA Assessment Shows

Foto-ilustracija: Pixabay
Photo-illustration: Unsplash (Martin Sepion)

Greenhouse gas emissions from stationary installations covered by the European Union’s Emissions Trading System (ETS) dropped by 9.1 percent in 2019 from 2018 levels, the largest drop in a decade, according to the latest European Environment Agency (EEA) briefing on trends and projections in the EU ETS released today.

The EEA briefing ‘The EU Emissions Trading System in 2020: trends and projections found that the drop in emissions from facilities covered by the EU ETS was again driven by a strong shift in the fuels used for electricity generation, from coal towards less carbon-intensive energy sources such as gas and renewables. However, emissions from aviation, also covered by the ETS, continued to increase (1 percent), reflecting the increasing demand for air travel in 2019.

The observed reduction in emissions between 2018 and 2019 was due to the increased price of CO2, which made coal less attractive, combined with the rising share of renewables in the total energy supply. Many countries also saw a switch from coal to natural gas.

In 2019 the number of EU ETS emission allowances auctioned decreased by 36 percent compared to 2018. However, total revenues from auctions increased by EUR 447 million because of higher carbon prices.

Continued decrease in ETS emissions forecast, but more effort needed

EU countries project that their emissions under the trading system will continue to decrease in the coming decade, as per current and planned measures, albeit at a considerably slower pace than historically. However, these projections do not take into account some of the most recently planned measures, reductions already achieved in 2019 or the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Background

This EEA briefing provides an overview of past and projected emission trends under the EU ETS. The data and information used in the briefing are available from the European Commission (verified emissions, free allocation and further information on operators under the EU ETS for the years up until 2019) and the EEA (projections of national ETS emissions until 2030 as reported by EU Member States, Iceland, Norway and the United Kingdom). A detailed analysis is available in the report Trends and projections: the EU Emissions Trading System in numbers in 2020, prepared for the EEA by the European Topic Centre on Climate change Mitigation and Energy (ETC/CME).

Additional information on the greenhouse gas emissions can be found in the recently published EEA report ‘Trends and projections in Europe 2020 ’, which tracks progress the EU’s 27 Member States (plus the United Kingdom) are making towards Europe’s climate and energy targets. 

Source: EEA

 

IRENA and African Development Bank Partner to Scale up Renewables Investments in Africa

Photo-illustration: Pixabay
Photo-illustration: Pixabay

The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), and the African Development Bank (AfDB), have agreed to work closely together to advance the continent’s energy transition through joint initiatives that support investments in low-carbon energy projects.

Under the Declaration of Intent, the two entities confirmed their wish to collaborate on supporting the continent’s energy transition under a framework of core activities. These include co-organising renewable energy investment forums as part of IRENA’s contribution to the Climate Investment Platform, and collaboration on the Bank’s annual Africa Investment Forum. Furthermore, strong emphasis will be placed on concrete support for enhancing the role of renewable energy in Nationally Determined Contributions and sustainable development objectives.

The joint declaration was signed by Francesco La Camera, Director-General of IRENA, and Kevin Kanina Kariuki, Vice-President, Power, Energy, Climate and Green Growth at the African Development Bank.

Mr. Kariuki said: “Driven by the aspiration to harness Africa’s huge renewable energy potential, the African Development Bank is today at the forefront of investing in renewable energy in Africa. The Bank’s partnership with IRENA will advance this aspiration and support Africa’s energy transition and our goal to achieve universal access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy in Africa by 2030.”

IRENA’s Global Renewables Outlook report, released earlier this year, revealed that sub-Saharan Africa could generate 67 per cent of its power from indigenous and clean renewable energy sources by 2030. Further analysis shows that the energy transition would boost GDP, improve welfare and stimulate up to 2 million additional green jobs in sub-Saharan Africa by 2050.

Photo-illustration: Pixabay

Mr. La Camera said: “The African continent has some of the most abundant renewable energy resources in the world and the potential to transform outcomes for millions of people through the accelerated deployment of a renewables-based energy system. Renewables will increase energy security, create green jobs, advance energy access, including clean cooking, and help build resilient African economies.

“This agreement represents the type of coordinated international cooperation that is the cornerstone of the realisation of sustainable development in Africa and the achievement of Paris Agreement goals,” he continued. “We will pursue an action-oriented agenda that puts African countries on a path to realising their full renewable energy potential.”

The declaration also provides for collaboration on the African Development Bank’s Desert to Power Initiative, which aims to mobilise public and private funding to install 10 GW of solar power by 2025 in 11 countries in the Sahel region of the African continent.

The two institutions will also engage in capacity building and knowledge exchange activities to reinforce joint efforts and cooperate on developing regional and national renewable energy case studies.

Source: IRENA

Climate Ambition Summit Pledges More Action

Photo-illustration: Unsplash (John Cameron)
Foto-ilustracija: Unsplash (Markus Spiske)

At a Climate Ambition Summit on 12 December, 75 leaders from all over the world unveiled new commitments and concrete plans to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to tackle ever-increasing climate change indicators and impacts.

The Summit was co-convened by the United Nations, the UK and France, in partnership with Italy and Chile, on the 5th anniversary of the Paris Agreement and marked a major milestone on the road to the crucial UN climate conference COP26 in Glasgow next November.

Announcements made at or just before the Summit, together with those expected early next year, mean that countries representing around 65 percent of global CO2 emissions, and around 70 percent of the world’s economy, will have committed to reaching net zero emissions or carbon neutrality, according to a press release issued at the end of the event.

“The Summit has now sent strong signals that more countries and more businesses are ready to take the bold climate action on which our future security and prosperity depend,” said U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres.

“Today was an important step forward, but it’s not yet enough. Let’s not forget that we are still on track to an increase of temperature of 3 degrees at least in the end of the century, which would be catastrophic,” he said.

Two recent WMO reports showed that greenhouse gas concentrations continue to track at record levels, and that 2020 is set to be one of the three warmest years on record, with the average global temperature about 1.2°C above the pre-industrial era. The five years since the Paris Agreement in 2015 have been the warmest on record.

“The recovery from COVID-19 presents an opportunity to set our economies and societies on a green path in line with the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. “As we look ahead, the central objective of the United Nations for 2021 is to build a truly Global Coalition for Carbon Neutrality,” said Mr Guterrez.

Source: WMO

Mountain People Among the World’s Hungriest as Biodiversity Loss and Climate Change Take their Toll

Foto-ilustracija: Pixabay
Photo-illustration: Pixabay

Mountains host about half of the global biodiversity hotspots and are home to a growing number of the world’s hungriest people, according to a new study launched by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) and partners to mark International Mountain Day 2020.

The study conducted by FAO, the Mountain Partnership Secretariat (MPS) and the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD), shows that the number of mountain people vulnerable to food insecurity in developing countries increased from 243 to almost 350 million between 2000 and 2017.

The joint study, “Vulnerability of mountain peoples to food insecurity: updated data and analysis of drivers”, was released today ahead of a virtual event to be hosted by FAO entitled “Mountain Biodiversity Matters”. 

This year’s International Mountain Day highlights the social, economic and ecological value of mountain biodiversity as mountains account for 30 percent of the key biodiversity areas on the planet.

Mountains provide between 60 and 80 percent of the world’s freshwater, which is essential for irrigation, industry, food and energy production and domestic consumption. Many of the world’s most important crops and livestock species also originate in mountain regions and are a source for food and medicine.

Yet the joint study found that mountain ecosystems are becoming increasingly fragile, under pressure from changes to land use and climate, overexploitation, pollution, demographic shifts and other factors which threaten livelihoods and food security.

“The vulnerability to food insecurity of the mountain people in the developing world is compounded by the presence and occurrence of natural hazards and armed conflicts that disrupt livelihoods or put strain on the natural resources on which mountain people depend,” the study concluded.

It also noted that environmental degradation affects mountain people disproportionately. Climate change has increased the degradation of mountain ecosystems and the incidence of natural hazards such as landslides and droughts.  Around 275 million rural people vulnerable to food insecurity were estimated to live in mountain areas that have already been affected by natural hazards.

The COVID-19 pandemic has added urgency to an already difficult situation as restrictions imposed by various countries have amplified the vulnerabilities of mountain communities that depend on agriculture and tourism for their survival. 

Photo-illustration: Pixabay

“One in every two rural mountain people in developing countries do not have enough food to live a healthy life and they are now dealing with the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. We must protect our mountains and the livelihoods of those who depend on them,” said FAO Deputy Director-General Maria Helena Semedo, commenting on the study’s findings.

The joint study recommended urgent action to address climate change and remove food insecurity and malnutrition in mountain areas. It called for policies to improve the resilience of mountain ecosystems and promote sustainable food systems that support innovation, research and community involvement.

“Ultimately, the goal of this study is to call on decision-makers and others stakeholders to strengthen cooperative action to reduce the vulnerability of mountain people, in particular local communities and indigenous people, and of the most vulnerable among them, often women and children,” the study said.

The Mountain Partnership, a voluntary United Nations alliance that includes 400 governments, NGOs and other members, works for livelihood improvement and natural resource management in mountain communities. 

This year’s virtual event will feature a high-level segment, a session on collaborative actions and programmes, and a roundtable session featuring the Mountain Partnership Goodwill Ambassadors.

Yuka Makino, FAO’s Mountain Partnership Secretariat Coordinator, will moderate the event together with Mountain Partnership Goodwill Ambassador Jake Norton, a climber and filmmaker.

Source: FAO

 

 

 

National Measures to Cut Air Pollution Would Benefit From Stronger Links With Climate Action

Foto-ilustracija: Pixabay
Photo-illustration: Pixabay

Actions taken to reduce emissions of air pollutants and greenhouse gases often address the same economic sectors but are reported separately under different EU legislation.

This briefing presents an overview of the latest policies and measures reported by Member States to tackle air pollution, as required under the National Emission reduction Commitments (NEC) Directive. It includes an analysis of synergies with the policies reported under the Regulation on a mechanism for monitoring and reporting greenhouse gas emissions (Monitoring Mechanism Regulation), highlighting the importance of coherence between these domains.

The EEA briefing ‘Measures to reduce emissions of air pollutants and greenhouse gases: the potential for synergies’ presents an overview of the latest policies and measures (PaMs) reported by Member States to tackle air pollution, as required under the National Emission reduction Commitments (NEC) Directive.

Policies to reduce emissions of three important air pollutants – ammonia (NH3), nitrogen oxides (NOx), and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) – mainly focus on the agriculture, transport and energy sectors, the EEA briefing shows.

Photo-illustration: Unsplash (Macau Photo Agency)

The EEA briefing also looks at links between the policies and measures tackling air pollutant emissions and those to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

The briefing shows that Member States have identified about one third of their air pollution policies to have links with national policies to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions, which are reported under the Regulation on a mechanism for monitoring and reporting greenhouse gas emissions (MMR).

According to the EEA briefing, it’s vital to seek coherence across these areas. Promoting consistency in reporting policies and measures on air pollution, energy and climate change can reduce red tape, foster policy coherence and support the identification of synergies across efforts towards zero pollution and climate neutrality in Europe.

Source: EEA

More than 1500 Photos on the Contest „Natura 2000 in the Frame”

Photo: Promo

The photo contest „Natura 2000 in the frame”, which was jointly organized by the project „EU for Natura 2000 in Serbia” and the Energy Portal, was completed on November 27th. During 11 weeks more than 1500 photos took part in this competition and three of them, most successful, will be awarded at the closing ceremony that will be held online on December 17th on the Facebook page of EU Info Center.

The main topics on which photographers amateurs and professionals responded were: protected areas and landscapes, natural beauties, flora and fauna, sustainable human activities (sustainable agriculture, tourism, and other activities). The intention and goal of this photo-contest were to connect the importance of protection of biodiversity with the diversity of natural landscapes in Serbia, highlighting the spaces that will be part of the future Natura 2000 Network, as well as to show to the beautiful public landscapes in Serbia, and to motivate and remind citizens to the importance of protection of the environment and diversity of flora and fauna.

Every week professional Jury selected the three most successful photos received during the week. During the photo competition, 34 photos became finalists, and the three most successful will be awarded at the final ceremony. The Jury  is composed by the Team Leader of the project „EU for Natura 2000 in Serbia” Ana Iñigo, Project Manager in the Delegation of the European Union to the Republic of Serbia responsible for environment and Climate Changes  Antoine Avignon, Project Manager in the Ministry of environmental protection – Sector for Nature protection and Climate changes Snezana Prokic, photographer Bojan Džodan, multimedia artist Mina Radović and Editor in Chief of Energy Portal Nevena Djukić.

„Nature photographers show us once again what fantastic photos they can make and what wide opportunities nature gives to them. The Jury had a complex task to make the decision, but they have also allowed us to enjoy fantastic photos. Through them, we can imagine and feel that we are at that location and see something that we did not see before. For me, to be part of the Jury has been a great experience that allowed me to  log which  sites I shouldn’t miss travelling through Serbia”, said Ana Iñigo.

The Natura 2000 is an international ecological network of protected areas that are classified into two categories according to the Habitats Directive and the Birds Directive. The project supports the Ministry of Environmental Protection to establish the first list of potential sites in Serbia that will be part of the European Natura 2000 Network.

Photo contest „Natura 2000 in the frame” gather several hundreds of photographers and nature lovers that equal participate for the one of three main award – 1st prize 60.000 dinars, 2nd prize 45.000 dinars, 3rd prize 35.000 dinars.

The exhibition of the most successful photos is postponed due to a specific epidemiological situation and will be held once the conditions allow it, probably during spring 2021.

 

Human Activities Put Pressure on Every Part of Europe’s Seas

Photo-illustration: Unsplash (Jakob Owens)
Photo-illustration: Pixabay

The EEA briefing Multiple pressures and their combined effects in Europe’s seas summarises the results of a spatial pressure assessment by the EEA and its European Topic Centre on Inland, Coastal and Marine waters (ETC/ICM), which shows that a wide range of human activities at sea and on land cause pressures on Europe’s seas.

Nearly all of Europe’s marine area (93 percent) is under various pressures from human activities and there is hardly any part of this area that is not affected by at least two of such pressures, the EEA briefing shows.

According to the EEA briefing, the main pressures, including pollution, loss of habitats and disturbance from demersal fisheries that are most intensive along the coast and in the shelf areas.

Climate change adds to the concerns over the resilience of marine ecosystems.

The EEA briefing shows that the most extensive effects are in the coastal and shelf areas of the North Sea and, partly, in the Baltic Sea and Adriatic Sea.

Serious effects were found in the narrow shelf areas of the western Mediterranean Sea. Major data gaps in the assessment were identified in the Mediterranean and Black Seas.

The growth of the EU’s maritime economy is leading to increased competition for marine space and resources. For human activities on land and sea to be sustainable, they need to be decoupled from the degradation of marine ecosystems, the EEA briefing states.

Source: EEA

Micromobility: Major Study Shows Electric Bikes Are Good For Health

Foto/: Pixabay
Photo-illustration: Unsplash (Okai Vehicles)

Electric bicycles are divisive in the cycling community. Some cyclists think that they are for lazy people and others think that they are unsafe. But that’s not what the evidence shows. A systematic review of the literature on electric bicycles found evidence from studies that they are healthier than non-cycling alternatives. But there are caveats.

Let’s talk about the study and its provenance first. Health benefits of electrically-assisted cycling: a systematic review was published November 21, 2018 in the International Journal of Behavioral Nutrition and Physical Activity (IJBNPA), an open access, peer-reviewed journal with a very respectable impact factor of 5.548. That means a lot of people cite articles in IJBNPA in later studies. It’s a credible source with typically high-quality content. The lead author, Jessica Bourne, and the other authors are all associated with the University of Bristol in the UK, specifically its Centre for Exercise, Nutrition and Health Sciences, School of Policy Studies and the NIHR Bristol Biomedical Research Centre.

The study itself is a systematic review. That’s second from the top of the pyramid of medical evidence. Given the quality of the publication and the quality of the evidence level, we can take these results seriously, and know, among other things, that they are not overstated.

So the study is very solid evidence of high credibility. But what does it find?

“There was moderate evidence that e-cycling provided physical activity of at least moderate intensity, which was lower than the intensity elicited during conventional cycling, but higher than that during walking. There was also moderate evidence that e-cycling can improve cardiorespiratory fitness in physically inactive individuals.”

That’s quite positive actually. The translation of the conservative wording is that it’s healthier than walking over the same distances and is much better than being sedentary.

There are provisos, of course, and the study team was careful to call them out.

“Evidence of the impact of e-cycling on metabolic and psychological health outcomes was inconclusive. Longitudinal evidence was compromised by weak study design and quality.”

All these sentences say is that no study lasted long enough or was structured well enough to determine if people were actually healthier long term using electric bikes. Some studies focused on weight loss, and as the current literature finds, weight loss is 80 percent intake and 20 percent output. Many studies make it clear that being sedentary is unhealthy, and being active at the level of walking and above are healthier.

The relative lack of evidence in this space is more of a concern. Only 17 studies were sufficiently robust to pass muster and be considered in the systematic review. That’s part of the process of a systematic review by the way, to define the criteria for inclusion and carefully assess the quality of the studies. Bad science and anecdote need not apply. 11 of them were acute, meaning that they put people on electric bikes and measured their heart rates and the like, and 6 were longitudinal, which means that they tracked health outcomes over time. As the proviso says, the longitudinal studies weren’t that strong.

Photo-illustration: Pixabay

But still, if we accept that walking is healthy, then electric bicycling is healthy, especially over longer distances. As a 2017 study assessed in the systematic review concluded:

“… changing the commuting mode from car to E-bike will significantly increase levels of physical activity while commuting.”

A 2014 peer-reviewed and published survey of over 500 US electric bike users found that they traveled further with more cargo, and found a common thread that the target market was not necessarily current cyclists, but those who found cycling challenging for one reason or another.

“Results suggest that e-bikes enable users to bike more often, to travel longer distances, and to carry more cargo with them. Additionally, e-bikes allow people who otherwise would not be able to bike (because of physical limitations or proximity to locations) the ability to bike with electric assist.”

A pair of studies out of the Netherlands are interesting. The first found that electric bicycles were used for trips on average of 14.1 kilometers (8.8 miles). The second study showed that normal bicycles were used for trips up to 7.5 kilometers, although it didn’t provide an average. This suggests good empirical evidence for what is anecdotally obvious: people with electric bicycles ride them further.

And with further travel, health benefits improve. If the average person travels double the distance at half the intensity, that’s a similar total exertion. For commuting, which typically isn’t a time trial aiming for intensity training outcomes, this is very reasonable.

But the studies don’t cover other health aspects worth considering. As CleanTechnica reported, there are higher severity injuries and even occasional fatalities for rider and pedestrians being reported. Some of them are related to unexpected speed and mass on the part of the rider, and others are related to poor cycling infrastructure. Neither are insurmountable and both are at low enough levels that they fall into the background of improved population health.

The next aspect is more important. Electric bicycles aren’t replacing other bicycles for trips, but are often replacing cars. And electric bicycles have zero point-of-use emissions and do not contribute to road congestion. Electric cars are zero point-of-use emission of course, but still cause congestion with its attendant commuting-related health challenges. The health impacts of pollution are well understood, and lengthy commuting times in cars have been linked to a wide range of health ailments, including hypertension and obesity.

While some cyclists consider electric bicycles to be solely for the lazy and unfit, they should consider the evidence. Anything which gets more cyclists on the road increases safety for all cyclists. And electric bicycles are much healthier than driving for all involved.

There’s one last element to be considered, something which has come into sharper focus since this article was published two years ago. North America has many more electric bikes with throttles, not pedal-assist. Europe requires pedal-assist for any bike on the roads or paths, but that’s not the case in many other jurisdictions, such as in the United States. There’s a strong potential that many North American riders are treating their electric bikes as electric mopeds, and pedaling rarely if at all. As such, the personal health benefits they accrue are lower or nonexistent. However, the societal health benefits are just as strong.

It’s clear that electric bicycles make individuals healthier, and jurisdictions should be actively encouraging electric bicycle use. 

Source: CleanTechnica